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Giveaways Boss Drop
Lost Ark Fate Embers Drop Rate Guide - Drop Rate, Ranges, Patterns, Type of Ember
9/5/2023 11:22:41 AM

If a bit of data would be helpful for you in figuring out where to park your alts - One advantage to having way too many alts is it's easy to collect a ton of data on drop rates/ranges/patterns. 


Lost Ark Fate Embers Drop Rate

Notes:

  • 1. The type of embers distribution looks pretty set with how most of the RNG in this game goes to round numbers.

  • 2. It looks like for Silver / Card Packs - higher level chaos is leaning towards better odds for Legendary (Random) / Larger silver pouch -- but need more points to confirm.

  • 3. It looks like 54k card XP starts at 1540 so there are definitely different weights 1540+ vs < 1540. Still need to farm a lot more to see if 1540 vs. 1580 have different odds.

  • 4. Got confirms of 3k / 1.5k Lost Ark gold at 1540.

  • 5. Got confirms that 0.5M silver drops and epic selects do drop in 1580 and we've just been lucky so far.           


Level
Runs
(Rested Counted as x2)
Gold (k)Silver (M)Card XP (k)Card PacksHoning

65432143214321321321

10050201031.55210.590543618LSelLRndESelLMS
Chaos
1610




















1580167
01100
0400102030003
156088


100
0000102011100
1540123


100
0110101001020
15209


000

000000000000
1490353


001

190026003046
<=1475






















740










































Guard.
158082
00100
0100010021011
154072


000
0000011000011
1490






















154










































Total89400140100710034120661811


# of Shards (k) per Honing Box
Level RangeLMS
1580+36189
1490 to 15601894.5
1250 to 14751263


# of Stones / Leap per Honing Box

LMS
Leap1206030
Blue (k)531.4
Red (k)2.51.50.7

Embers Distribution



Estimated

Chaos Ember Rate




8.4%
Gold68.1%
10%
Guardian Ember Rate




7.8%
CPack1216.2%
15%






Silver1723.0%
25%






CardXP1925.7%
25%






Honing2027.0%
25%






Total74










(Not Scaled for Rested)

Actual RunsEmbers

# of Rested Chaos
334
56
17%

# of Unrested Chaos
70
6
9%

# of Rested Guardians
77
12
16%

# of Unrested Guardians
0




Card XP (K) Distro





90543618Lvl

326

0%27%18%55%
1540-1610


Distro within Honing Boxes


LMS
1811
5%40%55%

Card XP (K) Distro




90543618Lvl
0026
0%0%25%75%<1540

Card XP (K) Distro



90543618

3412
0%16%21%63%

There's already a much larger sample size of clears and statistics of fate ember drops among hundreds of players. Here's the latest (most relevant) 4 Levels of chaos:

11111

222222

333333

444444


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